Spain vs. France Prediction, Odds & Picks: 2025 Nations League Semifinal (June 5)

Football News

Spain and France are set to face off in a highly anticipated UEFA Nations League semifinal on Thursday, June 5, 2025, at MHPArena in Stuttgart, Germany. Both nations demonstrated their strength by finishing first in their respective groups during the initial phase of the competition, with a combined record showing only one defeat across 12 matches.

Historically, recent encounters between these European giants have been competitive. Spain holds a slight edge with two wins in the last three meetings, though France notably secured victory in the 2021 Nations League final thanks to a decisive goal from Kylian Mbappé.

Kickoff is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET. The latest odds position Spain as narrow favorites at +130, meaning a $100 bet would return $130 profit. France enters the match as the underdog at +200, while a draw is priced at +220. The total goals over/under is set at 2.5.

For expert analysis and betting recommendations, SportsLine`s acclaimed soccer insider, Jon `Buckets` Eimer, has provided his top selections for this clash. Eimer is recognized for his impressive track record, finishing 2023 as SportsLine`s leading soccer expert with a profitable 248-234-12 record (+25.93 units) on article picks. He has continued this success into 2025 across various major leagues including the Premier League, Champions League, and La Liga.

Jon Eimer`s Top Betting Picks

  • Both Teams to Score (BTTS) (-110)
  • Lamine Yamal to Score or Assist (+160)
  • Ousmane Dembélé to Score or Assist (+150)

Analysis of Picks:

Both Teams to Score (-110)

Eimer highlights the offensive power of both teams. He points out that Spain`s recent matches have frequently seen high scores, with over 2.5 goals in their last five outings. France also boasts a strong attack, having netted 14 goals in their Nations League group stage. The “Both Teams to Score” outcome has occurred in the last two matches between Spain and France, supporting this pick.

Lamine Yamal to Score or Assist (+160)

As a key component of Spain`s dynamic attack, young forward Lamine Yamal has already contributed a goal and an assist in the Nations League. His recent form for Barcelona was impressive, concluding the 2024-25 La Liga season with three goals and an assist in his final four appearances. Eimer backs Yamal to make a goal contribution at appealing odds.

Ousmane Dembélé to Score or Assist (+150)

French attacker Ousmane Dembélé comes into the semifinal in excellent form, having played a crucial role in Paris Saint-Germain`s successful Ligue 1 and Champions League campaigns. This season, he recorded 21 goal contributions (goals + assists) in 20 domestic starts, added 14 goal contributions in the Champions League, and has scored twice in five Nations League matches. Eimer sees value in Dembélé impacting the game with a goal or assist.

Looking for more insights and betting angles for this match or other upcoming soccer games? Jon Eimer and other experts regularly provide comprehensive analysis and picks for top professional leagues worldwide.

Torin Blake
Torin Blake

Meet Torin Blake, a passionate journalist based in Bristol, England. With a keen eye for detail, he covers everything from football rivalries to cricket showdowns. Torin’s knack for storytelling brings the thrill of sports to life, whether it’s a local rugby match or an international boxing upset. He’s always chasing the next big scoop.

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